NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN IONA
Points 65.7 75.3
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 26.1
Points From Free Throws 10.5 10.6
Shooting MAN IONA
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 61.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 10.5 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 16.0
Free Throw % 73.2% 66.3%
Ball Control MAN IONA
Rebounds 33.5 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.0
Turnovers 14.6 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.6
Steals 5.6 9.3
Fouls 11.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN IONA
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 71.1
% of Possessions with MAN IONA
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 28.5%
Player Fouled 19.2% 16.9%
Turnover 20.9% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 13.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN IONA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 27.5%