NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN CAN
Points 66.2 72.9
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 22.4
Points From Free Throws 8.7 8.6
Shooting MAN CAN
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 61.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 8.7 8.6
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 14.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 59.8%
Ball Control MAN CAN
Rebounds 31.6 40.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 12.4
Turnovers 10.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.1
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 11.1 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN CAN
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 71.4
% of Possessions with MAN CAN
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 25.5%
Player Fouled 17.2% 15.8%
Turnover 15.5% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN CAN
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 34.0%