NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN NE
Points 65.1 74.6
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 43.8
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 19.3
Points From Free Throws 8.5 11.5
Shooting MAN NE
Field Goals Made 24.4 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.0
Field Goal % 42.8% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.2% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 8.5 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 11.5 15.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.5%
Ball Control MAN NE
Rebounds 28.1 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.7
Turnovers 11.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.9
Steals 6.8 7.3
Fouls 12.0 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN NE
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 67.0
% of Possessions with MAN NE
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 23.8%
Player Fouled 16.9% 17.6%
Turnover 17.2% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN NE
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 31.3%