NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN SPU
Points 60.2 68.9
Total Points   129.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 18.9
Points From Free Throws 11.8 14.7
Shooting MAN SPU
Field Goals Made 21.2 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.8
Field Goal % 39.3% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 11.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.1 20.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.2%
Ball Control MAN SPU
Rebounds 31.8 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 12.0
Turnovers 13.0 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.4
Steals 6.1 7.2
Fouls 14.2 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN SPU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 69.8
% of Possessions with MAN SPU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 20.5%
Player Fouled 21.3% 20.7%
Turnover 19.0% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN SPU
Shot Blocked 9.7% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 33.3%