NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN FOR
Points 63.2 77.1
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 25.8
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.2
Shooting MAN FOR
Field Goals Made 22.5 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 61.7
Field Goal % 40.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 19.7
Free Throw % 73.2% 67.2%
Ball Control MAN FOR
Rebounds 31.9 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 12.6
Turnovers 14.0 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 6.1
Steals 6.0 8.9
Fouls 13.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Fordham

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN FOR
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 74.3
% of Possessions with MAN FOR
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.5% 18.9%
Turnover 19.4% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN FOR
Shot Blocked 10.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 33.5%