NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN MRST
Points 58.5 68.0
Total Points   126.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.0 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 22.2
Points From Free Throws 10.1 11.0
Shooting MAN MRST
Field Goals Made 21.0 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.6
Field Goal % 39.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 10.1 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.8 15.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 72.8%
Ball Control MAN MRST
Rebounds 31.8 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.3
Turnovers 12.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.1
Steals 7.2 7.0
Fouls 12.6 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Marist

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN MRST
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 63.9
% of Possessions with MAN MRST
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 25.3%
Player Fouled 18.3% 18.6%
Turnover 18.6% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN MRST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 23.0%