NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MAN SIE
Points 68.2 66.2
Total Points   134.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 18.8
Points From Free Throws 9.3 10.7
Shooting MAN SIE
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 57.2
Field Goal % 42.2% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 9.3 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.7 15.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 68.7%
Ball Control MAN SIE
Rebounds 32.4 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.4
Turnovers 9.5 13.2
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 8.7 5.4
Fouls 12.0 11.7

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MAN SIE
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 67.5
% of Possessions with MAN SIE
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 23.6%
Player Fouled 16.8% 17.3%
Turnover 13.7% 19.0%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 12.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MAN SIE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 32.5%