NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIS KU
Points 72.4 75.3
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 16.5
Points From Free Throws 14.6 12.5
Shooting WIS KU
Field Goals Made 24.6 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 54.4
Field Goal % 42.1% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 17.6
Free Throw % 75.1% 71.4%
Ball Control WIS KU
Rebounds 31.8 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 5.8
Turnovers 8.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.9
Steals 5.9 5.1
Fouls 14.2 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Wisconsin

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIS KU
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 65.2
% of Possessions with WIS KU
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 51.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 19.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.3%
Turnover 12.8% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIS KU
Shot Blocked 7.2% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 20.0%