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Kansas at Baylor
Mon Jan 18, 2021
9:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Kansas at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 8.5, Total Points: 140
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | KU | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-1 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-1 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-13-0 | 10-7-1 |
Kansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC Central | -30.5 | W by 43 | +12.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Manhattan | -36.0 | W by 38 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Kentucky | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Chaminade | -42.5 | W by 27 | -15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Marquette | -4.0 | L by 14 | -18.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Tennessee | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | E Illinois | -38.5 | W by 8 | -30.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Connecticut | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Kansas City | -26.5 | W by 19 | -7.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Missouri | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | Indiana | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Yale | -15.0 | W by 15 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wichita St | -13.0 | W by 19 | +6.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | TX Christian | -9.0 | W by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | UCF | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -6.0 | W by 12 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Oklahoma St | -7.0 | W by 24 | +17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | W Virginia | -10.0 | L by 6 | -16.0 |
| 01/22 | Home | Cincinnati | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Iowa St | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Oklahoma St | -14.5 | W by 29 | +14.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Houston | +1.0 | W by 13 | +14.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Kansas St | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Baylor | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | L by 29 | -25.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 19 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | BYU | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Baylor | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Kansas St | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Houston | +7.5 | L by 30 | -22.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Cincinnati | +3.0 | L by 20 | -17.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Samford | -7.5 | W by 4 | -3.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 21 | -17.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -8.5 | Open | -9.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2384 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 1899 times (79.7%).
- The team like Kansas won the game 485 times (20.3%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 1174-1171-39 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 145 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 76-69 (52.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 09:05 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:34 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/18 08:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 01/18 08:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/18 08:23 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:50 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 01/18 07:17 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:35 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:44 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/18 05:35 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 01/18 05:02 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:38 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:50 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/18 03:20 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:54 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/18 02:47 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:26 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:59 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:41 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:35 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:11 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:54 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/18 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 01/18 10:20 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:14 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:32 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:55 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:08 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:45 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 01/17 07:26 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 06:17 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 04:44 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 04:34 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 01/17 04:23 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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