NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KU IONA
Points 80.8 62.9
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 48.0 25.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 27.6
Points From Free Throws 15.5 9.9
Shooting KU IONA
Field Goals Made 29.7 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 60.9
Field Goal % 56.9% 35.9%
2 Pointers Made 24.0 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 66.9% 37.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 15.5 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 15.0
Free Throw % 71.4% 66.3%
Ball Control KU IONA
Rebounds 40.4 27.3
Rebounds - Defensive 32.9 18.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.5
Turnovers 12.1 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.1
Steals 5.7 7.2
Fouls 11.8 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KU IONA
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 69.5
% of Possessions with KU IONA
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 33.5%
Player Fouled 22.9% 16.7%
Turnover 17.2% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KU IONA
Shot Blocked 3.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 20.4%