NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KU OKLA
Points 74.9 70.3
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 46.5 29.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 25.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.8
Shooting KU OKLA
Field Goals Made 28.4 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 56.8
Field Goal % 49.2% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.2 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 20.2
Free Throw % 71.4% 73.5%
Ball Control KU OKLA
Rebounds 34.7 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.6
Turnovers 9.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.2
Steals 6.9 5.0
Fouls 14.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KU OKLA
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 68.8
% of Possessions with KU OKLA
2 Point Attempt 51.8% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 29.9%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.3%
Turnover 13.3% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken KU OKLA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 23.9%