NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KU UTAH
Points 79.5 68.5
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 24.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.5
Shooting KU UTAH
Field Goals Made 29.1 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 62.3
Field Goal % 47.6% 38.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 20.0
Free Throw % 71.2% 62.6%
Ball Control KU UTAH
Rebounds 39.8 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 11.4
Turnovers 9.7 10.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.6
Steals 5.8 6.4
Fouls 13.1 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KU UTAH
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 73.9
% of Possessions with KU UTAH
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 32.2%
Player Fouled 20.8% 18.0%
Turnover 13.4% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KU UTAH
Shot Blocked 5.9% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 27.3%