NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KU KSU
Points 73.9 67.0
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 27.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 24.2
Points From Free Throws 15.4 15.1
Shooting KU KSU
Field Goals Made 26.7 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 56.0
Field Goal % 44.5% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 15.4 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 21.0
Free Throw % 71.4% 71.9%
Ball Control KU KSU
Rebounds 37.6 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.4
Turnovers 9.4 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.8
Steals 8.0 4.9
Fouls 14.8 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KU KSU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 68.8
% of Possessions with KU KSU
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 29.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.4%
Turnover 12.9% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken KU KSU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 25.4%