NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC GW
Points 70.8 73.9
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.6 22.1
Points From Free Throws 11.0 19.7
Shooting KC GW
Field Goals Made 25.1 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 52.1
Field Goal % 38.5% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 26.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 75.4%
Ball Control KC GW
Rebounds 38.0 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 6.2
Turnovers 9.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.4
Steals 5.5 5.4
Fouls 17.2 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC GW
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 67.2
% of Possessions with KC GW
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.3% 23.8%
Turnover 13.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC GW
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 19.5%