NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC MCNS
Points 62.2 72.3
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 18.8 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 30.4 17.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 20.5
Shooting KC MCNS
Field Goals Made 19.5 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 50.1
Field Goal % 37.2% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 9.4 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 20.5 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 10.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 32.1 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.9 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 29.7
Free Throw % 72.1% 69.1%
Ball Control KC MCNS
Rebounds 34.9 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.3
Turnovers 14.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.9
Steals 3.9 8.3
Fouls 19.9 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC MCNS
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.6 67.8
% of Possessions with KC MCNS
2 Point Attempt 25.4% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 39.8% 20.8%
Player Fouled 24.3% 28.9%
Turnover 21.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC MCNS
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 25.6%