NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KC MILW
Points 73.5 74.6
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.4 17.1
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.9
Shooting KC MILW
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 54.4
Field Goal % 39.4% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 28.5
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.5%
Ball Control KC MILW
Rebounds 37.6 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 9.8
Turnovers 10.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.5
Steals 5.3 4.9
Fouls 19.3 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas City

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KC MILW
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 71.2
% of Possessions with KC MILW
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.6% 23.1%
Player Fouled 22.8% 26.4%
Turnover 14.2% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KC MILW
Shot Blocked 6.6% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 28.6%