NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI WCU
Points 63.6 84.3
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 25.4
Points From Free Throws 11.8 13.1
Shooting VMI WCU
Field Goals Made 23.5 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 65.8
Field Goal % 38.5% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.8 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 11.8 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 18.7
Free Throw % 70.4% 70.0%
Ball Control VMI WCU
Rebounds 33.4 44.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 11.3
Turnovers 10.7 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.0
Steals 4.0 5.0
Fouls 14.1 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI WCU
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 77.5
% of Possessions with VMI WCU
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 50.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 25.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 18.8%
Turnover 14.4% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI WCU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 30.1%