NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI FUR
Points 68.8 88.2
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 31.6
Points From Free Throws 10.6 15.0
Shooting VMI FUR
Field Goals Made 26.4 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 65.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 47.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 30.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 10.6 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 20.7
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.6%
Ball Control VMI FUR
Rebounds 33.7 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.9
Turnovers 13.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.9
Steals 5.0 8.6
Fouls 14.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI FUR
Total Possessions 76.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 78.1
% of Possessions with VMI FUR
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 34.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 18.6%
Turnover 18.0% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI FUR
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 29.2%