NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI ECU
Points 62.4 80.2
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 21.2
Points From Free Throws 10.2 15.7
Shooting VMI ECU
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 61.8
Field Goal % 40.7% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 10.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 22.8
Free Throw % 70.4% 68.6%
Ball Control VMI ECU
Rebounds 33.5 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.8
Turnovers 15.5 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.3
Steals 4.3 10.4
Fouls 14.6 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI ECU
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 76.1
% of Possessions with VMI ECU
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 24.9%
Player Fouled 17.5% 20.0%
Turnover 21.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 14.2% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI ECU
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 31.7%