NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI SEA
Points 61.7 83.6
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 24.8
Points From Free Throws 11.0 16.3
Shooting VMI SEA
Field Goals Made 22.9 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 62.7
Field Goal % 39.2% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 39.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.4% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 11.0 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 21.8
Free Throw % 70.4% 74.7%
Ball Control VMI SEA
Rebounds 32.6 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 11.0
Turnovers 14.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.0
Steals 4.6 7.6
Fouls 15.8 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI SEA
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 76.5
% of Possessions with VMI SEA
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 26.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.0%
Turnover 19.2% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI SEA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 30.2%