NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VMI WOF
Points 66.0 83.1
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.4 31.0
Points From Free Throws 12.1 11.1
Shooting VMI WOF
Field Goals Made 23.6 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 63.8
Field Goal % 39.5% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 57.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 12.1 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 18.0
Free Throw % 70.4% 61.9%
Ball Control VMI WOF
Rebounds 32.9 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 11.6
Turnovers 11.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.9
Steals 5.0 5.5
Fouls 14.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VMI WOF
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 75.4
% of Possessions with VMI WOF
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 32.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.4%
Turnover 15.4% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken VMI WOF
Shot Blocked 4.6% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 31.3%