NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCF CIN
Points 65.2 68.7
Total Points   133.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.2
Shooting UCF CIN
Field Goals Made 22.4 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 58.1
Field Goal % 38.3% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.9 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 20.7
Free Throw % 68.6% 68.9%
Ball Control UCF CIN
Rebounds 36.6 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 12.0
Turnovers 10.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.4
Steals 7.4 5.5
Fouls 15.0 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: UCF

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCF CIN
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 70.9
% of Possessions with UCF CIN
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 26.1%
Player Fouled 20.1% 21.0%
Turnover 15.1% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCF CIN
Shot Blocked 7.8% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 31.9%