NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU CCSU
Points 67.5 76.4
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 23.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.2
Shooting FDU CCSU
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 58.0
Field Goal % 38.9% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 19.8
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.4%
Ball Control FDU CCSU
Rebounds 34.3 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 10.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.2
Steals 7.0 6.4
Fouls 15.2 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Central Conn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU CCSU
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 70.4
% of Possessions with FDU CCSU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 26.1%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.8%
Turnover 14.5% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU CCSU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 26.4%