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Bellarmine at Duke
Fri Dec 4, 2020
7:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Bellarmine at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 30, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BELL | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-19-0 | 21-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-12-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-8-0 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-11-0 | 10-7-1 |
Bellarmine Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Washington | +10.5 | L by 34 | -23.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Kansas St | +16.0 | L by 8 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Chattanooga | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Bowling Grn | +3.5 | W by 18 | +21.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Morehead St | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | W Virginia | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Louisville | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 12/07 | Home | Berea College | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 12/16 | Home | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 9 | -10.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah | +20.5 | L by 42 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | BYU | +28.0 | L by 42 | -14.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | High Point | +9.5 | L by 5 | +4.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Austin Peay | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Lipscomb | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | N Alabama | +5.0 | L by 16 | -11.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Central Ark | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | E Kentucky | +11.0 | L by 12 | -1.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | N Florida | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Jacksonville | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kennesaw St | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Queens | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Stetson | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Central Ark | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Alabama | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Lipscomb | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Austin Peay | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
| DUKE -30.0 | Open | -28.5 | High | -30.0 |
| Last | -29.0 | Low | -28.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 93 games where the closing line favored the home team by 29.5 to 31.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 93 times (100.0%).
- The team like Bellarmine won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 57-36 (61.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 25 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Bellarmine did better against the spread, going 15-10 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 06:58 PM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:37 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 05:55 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 05:20 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 04:34 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:11 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:42 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:29 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:43 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 01:11 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:59 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:16 PM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:38 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 11:28 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:52 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:17 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:59 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:14 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:49 AM | -29.0 | -- | -- |
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