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UCF at Houston
Sun Jan 17, 2021
2:00pm ET
Houston, TX
UCF at Houston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Houston by 14, Total Points: 129
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 17-18-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 12-7-0 | 10-5-2 | |
| Away | 7-7-0 | 7-13-0 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | UL Monroe | -30.5 | W by 53 | +22.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -34.0 | W by 32 | -2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Stetson | -32.5 | W by 31 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Towson | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Utah | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Dayton | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Montana | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Xavier | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rice | -27.5 | W by 36 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Jackson St | -34.0 | W by 34 | 0.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Texas St | -27.5 | W by 35 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | U Penn | -27.0 | W by 39 | +12.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Virginia | -20.0 | W by 34 | +14.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Iowa St | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TX Christian | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | UCF | -17.5 | W by 15 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | BYU | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas St | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Texas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kansas | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Oklahoma St | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Iowa St | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Cincinnati | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Oklahoma | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | UCF | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kansas | -7.5 | W by 30 | +22.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX Christian | -11.5 | W by 15 | +3.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -10.5 | W by 23 | +12.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Iowa St | -5.5 | L by 28 | -33.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Longwood | -24.0 | W by 40 | +16.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Duke | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| HOU -14.0 | Open | -14.0 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -- | Low | -14.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 990 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Houston won the game 928 times (93.7%).
- The team like Central Florida won the game 62 times (6.3%).
- The team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 495-481-14 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 21 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Houston did better against the spread, going 13-8 (61.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 4.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.0 |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/17 01:59 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 01:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 12:56 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 12:20 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 11:50 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 11:08 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:17 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:08 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 09:08 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 08:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 01/17 08:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 01/17 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 01/17 06:44 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 05:45 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 01/17 05:41 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 04:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 01/17 04:15 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 01/17 04:11 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 02:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 01/17 02:05 AM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 01/17 02:04 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 01/16 10:14 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 06:41 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 05:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
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