NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU LEM
Points 78.7 71.5
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 18.3
Points From Free Throws 16.6 15.2
Shooting FDU LEM
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 55.9
Field Goal % 46.5% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.5
Free Throw % 70.1% 70.3%
Ball Control FDU LEM
Rebounds 34.8 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.4
Turnovers 10.0 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.9
Steals 6.6 5.6
Fouls 15.7 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU LEM
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 69.4
% of Possessions with FDU LEM
2 Point Attempt 40.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 24.7%
Player Fouled 24.3% 21.7%
Turnover 13.9% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU LEM
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 27.4%