NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU LEM
Points 66.6 70.3
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.1 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 26.3 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.2
Shooting FDU LEM
Field Goals Made 22.3 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 48.0
Field Goal % 39.1% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.5 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 27.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 59.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.3
Free Throw % 70.7% 71.6%
Ball Control FDU LEM
Rebounds 33.8 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 5.4
Turnovers 9.0 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.1
Steals 5.4 4.5
Fouls 16.8 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Le Moyne

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU LEM
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 61.1
% of Possessions with FDU LEM
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 28.7%
Player Fouled 22.7% 25.1%
Turnover 13.5% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU LEM
Shot Blocked 4.4% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 19.5%