NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL JAC
Points 68.4 78.7
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 28.0
Points From Free Throws 12.2 13.6
Shooting BELL JAC
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.8 56.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 41.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 20.3
Free Throw % 76.1% 67.0%
Ball Control BELL JAC
Rebounds 26.9 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 11.2
Turnovers 12.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.3
Steals 6.8 7.5
Fouls 15.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Jacksonville

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL JAC
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.3 69.7
% of Possessions with BELL JAC
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.3%
Turnover 18.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL JAC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 17.9% 34.3%