NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU DREX
Points 64.8 81.0
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 43.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 22.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.4
Shooting FDU DREX
Field Goals Made 23.1 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 59.7
Field Goal % 37.8% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 20.3
Free Throw % 69.4% 71.0%
Ball Control FDU DREX
Rebounds 29.6 44.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.0
Turnovers 8.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.8
Steals 5.9 4.6
Fouls 15.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU DREX
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.3 72.8
% of Possessions with FDU DREX
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 24.0%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.2%
Turnover 11.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU DREX
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 35.6%