NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL FGCU
Points 65.9 72.6
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 26.9
Points From Free Throws 8.6 10.3
Shooting BELL FGCU
Field Goals Made 24.5 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 56.7
Field Goal % 42.6% 47.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 8.6 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 11.4 15.2
Free Throw % 75.6% 68.1%
Ball Control BELL FGCU
Rebounds 29.9 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 9.0
Turnovers 8.8 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.8
Steals 4.7 4.7
Fouls 12.9 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Gulf Cst

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL FGCU
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 66.6
% of Possessions with BELL FGCU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 32.9%
Player Fouled 16.8% 19.3%
Turnover 13.2% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL FGCU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 27.3%