NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL LIB
Points 66.7 76.5
Total Points   143.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 33.7
Points From Free Throws 8.3 10.2
Shooting BELL LIB
Field Goals Made 26.1 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 56.9
Field Goal % 45.8% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.4 26.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 62.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 8.3 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 11.0 15.8
Free Throw % 75.6% 64.5%
Ball Control BELL LIB
Rebounds 30.4 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.0 7.1
Turnovers 9.0 8.2
Blocked Shots 1.9 1.9
Steals 3.9 3.7
Fouls 14.6 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL LIB
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 63.5 66.5
% of Possessions with BELL LIB
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 34.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 40.8%
Player Fouled 17.7% 21.6%
Turnover 13.4% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL LIB
Shot Blocked 3.4% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 15.4% 21.8%