NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU PROV
Points 59.4 84.0
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 37.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 30.3
Points From Free Throws 12.2 16.5
Shooting FDU PROV
Field Goals Made 20.5 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 57.3
Field Goal % 33.5% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 35.2% 62.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 22.1
Free Throw % 69.4% 74.5%
Ball Control FDU PROV
Rebounds 30.2 44.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.0
Turnovers 11.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.4
Steals 7.3 6.0
Fouls 17.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU PROV
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 71.5
% of Possessions with FDU PROV
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 32.5%
Player Fouled 19.5% 24.1%
Turnover 15.0% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU PROV
Shot Blocked 7.8% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 31.3%