NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL JVST
Points 65.8 70.9
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 16.7
Points From Free Throws 9.8 14.9
Shooting BELL JVST
Field Goals Made 24.3 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 55.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 9.8 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 21.7
Free Throw % 75.6% 68.8%
Ball Control BELL JVST
Rebounds 28.1 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.3 11.3
Turnovers 9.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.1
Steals 4.6 4.9
Fouls 15.0 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL JVST
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.3 69.3
% of Possessions with BELL JVST
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 22.4%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.2%
Turnover 14.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL JVST
Shot Blocked 5.7% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 15.9% 33.2%