NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU
Points 73.4 64.5
Total Points   137.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 32.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.2 7.5
Shooting FDU
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 55.3
Field Goal % 43.2% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 30.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.2 7.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 12.4
Free Throw % 69.4% 60.7%
Ball Control FDU
Rebounds 36.0 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.9
Turnovers 10.2 15.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.4
Steals 8.1 5.4
Fouls 13.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.8 63.7
% of Possessions with FDU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 37.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 31.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.1%
Turnover 14.2% 22.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 23.4%