NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU MAN
Points 72.9 74.5
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 26.0
Points From Free Throws 13.3 10.2
Shooting FDU MAN
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 60.8
Field Goal % 42.4% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.3 10.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 13.9
Free Throw % 69.4% 73.2%
Ball Control FDU MAN
Rebounds 35.4 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.8
Turnovers 10.7 13.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 8.4 6.7
Fouls 13.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU MAN
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 69.8
% of Possessions with FDU MAN
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.3% 17.9%
Turnover 14.4% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU MAN
Shot Blocked 5.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 25.3%