NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BELL WVU
Points 67.5 80.5
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 27.6
Points From Free Throws 8.6 16.2
Shooting BELL WVU
Field Goals Made 24.8 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 54.8
Field Goal % 41.0% 50.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 8.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 11.4 23.1
Free Throw % 75.6% 70.4%
Ball Control BELL WVU
Rebounds 29.1 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 8.6
Turnovers 8.9 9.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.9
Steals 5.0 3.5
Fouls 16.7 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bellarmine

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BELL WVU
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 69.0
% of Possessions with BELL WVU
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 36.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 16.0% 24.0%
Turnover 12.8% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken BELL WVU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 17.0% 27.3%