NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU SH
Points 72.1 78.8
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 24.9
Points From Free Throws 15.4 13.6
Shooting FDU SH
Field Goals Made 24.1 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 58.8
Field Goal % 39.8% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 37.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.1% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 15.4 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 19.4
Free Throw % 69.4% 70.0%
Ball Control FDU SH
Rebounds 36.9 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 8.1
Turnovers 12.4 12.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.7
Steals 6.9 7.4
Fouls 15.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU SH
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 70.9
% of Possessions with FDU SH
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.6% 20.5%
Turnover 16.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU SH
Shot Blocked 8.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 24.1%