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UCF at E Carolina
Thu Mar 4, 2021
9:00pm ET
Greenville, NC
UCF at E Carolina: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Central Florida by 2, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | ECU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 14-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 9-10-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 12-7-0 | 7-11-1 | |
| Away | 7-7-0 | 7-6-0 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
E Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Ferrum | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Campbell | -13.0 | W by 14 | +1.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.0 | L by 2 | -14.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Northeastrn | -8.0 | L by 6 | -14.0 |
| 11/20 | Home | GA Southern | -11.5 | W by 18 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Kennesaw St | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Geo Mason | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Maryland ES | -15.5 | W by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | S Carolina | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 12/14 | Neutral | Florida | +15.0 | L by 5 | +10.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Delaware St | -12.5 | W by 29 | +16.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Tenn St | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +17.0 | L by 15 | +2.0 |
| 01/07 | Home | Tulsa | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Temple | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Methodist | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | North Texas | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | UAB | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Wichita St | +3.0 | W by 2 | +5.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Temple | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | S Florida | -1.0 | L by 11 | -12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Charlotte | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | UTSA | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Wichita St | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 02/18 | Home | Tulane | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Rice | (Pick) | L by 18 | -18.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Memphis | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | North Texas | +9.0 | L by 15 | -6.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Methodist | +12.0 | L by 3 | +9.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Charlotte | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Tulsa | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| UCF -2.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2331 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Central Florida won the game 1279 times (54.9%).
- The team like East Carolina won the game 1052 times (45.1%).
- The team like East Carolina did better against the spread, going 1137-1136-58 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 494 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 252-240-2 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/04 08:59 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 08:40 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 08:04 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/04 07:56 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 07:02 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:44 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/04 06:41 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 03/04 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 03/04 05:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/04 04:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 02:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/04 02:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/04 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/04 01:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/04 10:41 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/04 09:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/04 08:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/04 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/04 08:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 04:28 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/04 01:45 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 03/04 12:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 03/04 12:04 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/03 11:47 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/03 06:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 04:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/03 04:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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