NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU HOF
Points 63.2 81.9
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 25.7 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 33.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 10.9
Shooting FDU HOF
Field Goals Made 21.3 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 58.5
Field Goal % 36.3% 51.2%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 39.6% 61.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 12.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 14.9
Free Throw % 69.4% 73.2%
Ball Control FDU HOF
Rebounds 32.2 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.4
Turnovers 11.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.5
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 14.7 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU HOF
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 68.0
% of Possessions with FDU HOF
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 38.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 35.0%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.4%
Turnover 15.8% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU HOF
Shot Blocked 6.0% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 24.0%