NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU RUTG
Points 59.8 77.2
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 25.1 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 20.0
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.5
Shooting FDU RUTG
Field Goals Made 19.7 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 61.3
Field Goal % 34.0% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.5 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 37.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 22.9
Free Throw % 69.4% 67.7%
Ball Control FDU RUTG
Rebounds 34.0 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 13.5
Turnovers 14.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.8
Steals 7.0 7.4
Fouls 16.5 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rutgers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU RUTG
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 76.2
% of Possessions with FDU RUTG
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 23.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.3%
Turnover 19.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU RUTG
Shot Blocked 9.6% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 35.3%