NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU WAG
Points 65.5 69.8
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 24.1
Points From Free Throws 12.9 10.9
Shooting FDU WAG
Field Goals Made 22.9 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 60.4
Field Goal % 39.6% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 15.7
Free Throw % 69.4% 69.5%
Ball Control FDU WAG
Rebounds 35.9 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.8
Turnovers 9.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.4
Steals 4.8 5.0
Fouls 13.3 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU WAG
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 70.6
% of Possessions with FDU WAG
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.3% 28.9%
Player Fouled 21.4% 19.1%
Turnover 13.6% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU WAG
Shot Blocked 4.1% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 28.7%