NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU LIU
Points 74.8 71.8
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 41.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 17.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 12.9
Shooting FDU LIU
Field Goals Made 24.8 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 59.2
Field Goal % 41.4% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 41.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 19.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 27.4 19.3
Free Throw % 69.4% 66.9%
Ball Control FDU LIU
Rebounds 37.7 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.8
Turnovers 10.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 8.5 5.8
Fouls 15.3 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: LIU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU LIU
Total Possessions 76.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 71.4
% of Possessions with FDU LIU
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 20.7%
Player Fouled 23.7% 20.1%
Turnover 13.1% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU LIU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 24.4%