NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCF WICH
Points 73.8 63.1
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 16.6
Points From Free Throws 14.5 14.0
Shooting UCF WICH
Field Goals Made 26.1 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 55.7
Field Goal % 41.8% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 42.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 14.5 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.0
Free Throw % 68.6% 69.7%
Ball Control UCF WICH
Rebounds 41.0 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 9.1
Turnovers 9.3 13.3
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.3
Steals 9.2 5.3
Fouls 14.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: UCF

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCF WICH
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 67.3
% of Possessions with UCF WICH
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 20.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 20.1%
Turnover 12.9% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 12.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCF WICH
Shot Blocked 6.2% 10.2%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 24.9%