NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU PRIN
Points 66.2 85.7
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.1 35.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 14.9
Shooting FDU PRIN
Field Goals Made 24.1 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 58.6
Field Goal % 41.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 30.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 11.1 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 19.0
Free Throw % 69.4% 78.3%
Ball Control FDU PRIN
Rebounds 31.5 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 7.5
Turnovers 10.3 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.2
Steals 4.9 5.4
Fouls 17.0 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Princeton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU PRIN
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 70.2
% of Possessions with FDU PRIN
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 38.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.9%
Turnover 14.4% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 23.7%