NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FDU MW
Points 64.1 72.7
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 25.3
Points From Free Throws 14.3 13.9
Shooting FDU MW
Field Goals Made 22.1 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 54.8
Field Goal % 38.5% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 14.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 18.6
Free Throw % 69.4% 74.8%
Ball Control FDU MW
Rebounds 37.3 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 6.5
Turnovers 14.4 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.4
Steals 7.5 8.6
Fouls 16.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: F Dickinson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FDU MW
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 66.3
% of Possessions with FDU MW
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 30.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 22.2%
Turnover 19.6% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FDU MW
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 20.3%