NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG UNCA
Points 71.7 75.9
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 26.2
Points From Free Throws 15.7 16.2
Shooting LONG UNCA
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 51.8
Field Goal % 42.5% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.8 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 15.7 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 21.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 75.0%
Ball Control LONG UNCA
Rebounds 36.7 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 6.6
Turnovers 10.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.7
Steals 6.6 5.2
Fouls 18.2 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG UNCA
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.6 65.0
% of Possessions with LONG UNCA
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 37.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 28.5%
Player Fouled 22.2% 25.9%
Turnover 15.3% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG UNCA
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 36.7% 22.6%