NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG WAKE
Points 64.0 83.2
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 26.5
Points From Free Throws 13.3 16.3
Shooting LONG WAKE
Field Goals Made 22.8 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 53.0
Field Goal % 40.3% 54.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 40.7 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 64.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 13.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 20.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 79.2%
Ball Control LONG WAKE
Rebounds 30.4 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 6.2
Turnovers 11.7 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.1
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 18.2 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG WAKE
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 65.6
% of Possessions with LONG WAKE
2 Point Attempt 49.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 28.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 26.1%
Turnover 16.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG WAKE
Shot Blocked 7.9% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 23.6%