NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG WIN
Points 73.6 73.2
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 23.5
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.5
Shooting LONG WIN
Field Goals Made 25.7 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 48.2
Field Goal % 44.6% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 26.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 59.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 26.7
Free Throw % 68.6% 69.3%
Ball Control LONG WIN
Rebounds 36.0 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 7.6
Turnovers 11.5 13.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 6.9 5.3
Fouls 21.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG WIN
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 64.6
% of Possessions with LONG WIN
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 33.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 27.5%
Player Fouled 24.4% 29.9%
Turnover 16.3% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG WIN
Shot Blocked 4.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 38.5% 25.5%