NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG GTWN
Points 75.7 77.3
Total Points   153.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.7 29.1
Points From Free Throws 15.6 16.2
Shooting LONG GTWN
Field Goals Made 27.3 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 53.0
Field Goal % 48.8% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.1 28.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 15.6 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 22.4
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.0%
Ball Control LONG GTWN
Rebounds 33.0 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.5
Turnovers 10.6 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.1
Steals 7.0 5.3
Fouls 16.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG GTWN
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 67.2
% of Possessions with LONG GTWN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 35.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 31.4%
Player Fouled 23.5% 24.5%
Turnover 15.3% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG GTWN
Shot Blocked 5.8% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 35.6% 30.8%