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Longwood at VMI
Tue Dec 1, 2020
5:00pm ET
Lexington, VA
Longwood at VMI: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: VMI by 5.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LONG | adv | VMI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 11-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 5-6-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 6-12-0 |
Longwood Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | St Bonavent | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | St. Mary's (MD) | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 11/15 | Away | Maryland ES | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | NC Central | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Delaware St | -13.0 | W by 2 | -11.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Lamar | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Beth-Cook | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | The Apprentice School | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/03 | Away | Morgan St | -9.5 | W by 34 | +24.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Delaware St | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Gallaudet University | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 12/13 | Away | WI-Milwkee | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | VMI | -18.0 | W by 19 | +1.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | NC Central | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Dayton | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Winthrop | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Charl South | -15.0 | W by 21 | +6.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Radford | -6.0 | L by 11 | -17.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | NC-Asheville | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | SC Upstate | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Presbyterian | -11.5 | W by 10 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Gard-Webb | -4.0 | L by 12 | -16.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | High Point | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Charl South | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | SC Upstate | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Winthrop | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Presbyterian | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | NC-Asheville | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Radford | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Gard-Webb | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | High Point | +2.5 | W by 2 | +4.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Winthrop | -1.0 | W by 13 | +12.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | High Point | +7.0 | W by 1 | +8.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | +3.5 | W by 26 | +29.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Houston | +24.0 | L by 40 | -16.0 |
VMI Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Richmond | +17.5 | L by 18 | -0.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Christendom | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 11/13 | Away | S Carolina | +22.0 | L by 10 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | South Dakota | +7.0 | L by 4 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | N Arizona | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/22 | Away | Air Force | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Clarks Summit | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/29 | Away | Navy | +4.0 | L by 20 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Presbyterian | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | American | +5.0 | L by 8 | -3.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Radford | +15.5 | L by 17 | -1.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Longwood | +18.0 | L by 19 | -1.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Penn St.-New Kensington | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | Wofford | +15.5 | L by 2 | +13.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mercer | +4.5 | L by 22 | -17.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Chattanooga | +16.0 | L by 48 | -32.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Samford | +24.0 | L by 38 | -14.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Furman | +16.5 | L by 40 | -23.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Citadel | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | E Tenn St | +10.5 | L by 1 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | W Carolina | +21.5 | L by 25 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mercer | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Chattanooga | +15.0 | L by 4 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Samford | +19.5 | L by 39 | -19.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Furman | +23.5 | L by 13 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Citadel | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | E Tenn St | +18.5 | L by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Carolina | +16.0 | L by 33 | -17.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +23.5 | L by 42 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wofford | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | E Tenn St | +17.5 | L by 32 | -14.5 |
| VMI -5.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2810 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like VMI won the game 1934 times (68.8%).
- The team like Longwood won the game 876 times (31.2%).
- The team like VMI did better against the spread, going 1427-1307-76 (52.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 41 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like VMI did better against the spread, going 23-18 (56.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/01 04:50 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 04:02 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 03:59 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 03:26 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 02:38 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 02:29 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 12:59 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 12:02 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 11:41 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:59 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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