NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LONG VMI
Points 81.0 66.0
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 46.2 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 19.9
Points From Free Throws 16.6 11.0
Shooting LONG VMI
Field Goals Made 29.1 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 54.9
Field Goal % 46.9% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 45.2 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 16.6 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 15.6
Free Throw % 68.6% 70.4%
Ball Control LONG VMI
Rebounds 40.3 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 6.5
Turnovers 10.2 16.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.1
Steals 9.2 5.1
Fouls 14.9 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LONG VMI
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 64.8
% of Possessions with LONG VMI
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.1%
Turnover 13.7% 21.6%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken LONG VMI
Shot Blocked 3.9% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 19.5%